Bond Investors Enter Final Week of 2024 at Risk of Ending in Red

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(Bloomberg) — Bond investors are heading into another holiday-shortened trading week with few economic data releases or scheduled Federal Reserve speakers.

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Against that backdrop, the Treasury market is close to vanquishing the small gains it has made so far in 2024 as investors grow more wary of President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda and the limited outlook for further interest rate cuts next year.

A Bloomberg index of Treasuries has fallen about 1.7% this month through Dec. 26, leaving it up only 0.4% in 2024. US markets will be closed on Wednesday for the New Year’s Day holiday.

What to Watch

  • Economic data:

    • Dec. 30: MNI Chicago PMI; pending home sales; Dallas Fed manufacturing activity

    • Dec. 31: FHFA House Price Index; S&P CoreLogic home prices; Dallas Fed services activity

    • Jan. 2: MBA mortgage applications; initial jobless claims; S&P Global US manufacturing PMI; construction spending

    • Jan. 3: ISM manufacturing/prices paid/new orders/employment; Wards total vehicle sales

  • Fed calendar:

  • Auction calendar:

    • Dec. 30: 13-, 26-week bills; 42-day CMB

    • Jan. 2: 4-, 8- and 17-week bills

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