Data Reveals Abrupt Shift in Consumer Sentiment Toward Personal Finance After Trump Win

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Data points to an abrupt shift in the sentiment and priorities of Americans when it comes to their personal finances since the outcome of the 2024 presidential election became clear. Demand for professional financial advice has increased, signaling a wave of financial repositioning. Both the quantity and quality of consumers seeking to adjust their financial plans have increased since the second week of November, 2024, according to data from financial technology company SmartAsset.

Several circumstances may be helping to drive this sudden increase in demand. During the last Trump presidency, there was a 2.35% annualized performance premium on the S&P 500, inflation adjusted. From Trump’s election win in November 2016 through Joe Biden’s presidential win in November 2020, the S&P 500 saw an inflation-adjusted return of 10.22% per year, compared to 7.87% annually from November 2020 onwards.

Investors may be hoping for a repeat of this performance premium in the coming four years. Promised deregulation through Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s Department of Government Efficiency may give companies the expectation that there will be opportunities to expand business, cut costs and ultimately increase profits. Potential changes to the tax code – such as measures set out in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in Trump’s 2017 term that generally favored high-net-worth individuals – also may be instigating urgency among investors. Several sources point to the sudden increase in demand for professional financial services for consumers since election day.

Technically, President Joe Biden’s administration had the highest nominal annualized stock market performance since Bill Clinton was in office in the late 1990s. However, when adjusted for inflation during the same time period, the performance of the S&P 500 was actually the lowest it’s been since George W. Bush was in office through the beginning of the 2008 financial crisis.

While an individual invested solely in the S&P 500 index would have seen their returns grow by 13.33% annually since the 2020 election – including dividend reinvestments – the actual purchasing power of that growth would only have increased by 7.87% per year due to particularly high inflation during the last four years.

Investors seem to be positioning themselves based on expectations of prior market growth after the 2024 election results became clear by the morning of November 7, 2024.

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