I’m 63 With $900k in an IRA, Making $125k Annually. Should I Convert $90k a Year to a Roth to Avoid Future RMDs?

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Converting an IRA to a Roth IRA is a popular approach to avoiding mandatory required minimum distributions (RMDs) — and the associated taxes — in your 70s and beyond. Doing it gradually can stretch out and even reduce the tax bill compared to converting it all at once. In your case, the key question is likely whether $90,000 is the right amount to convert each year. Assuming some portfolio growth along the way, this exact conversion plan will reduce the size of the annual mandatory withdrawals later on, but it won’t allow you to avoid them completely. Converting a larger amount each year, on the other hand, will increase your current tax bill. A financial advisor can help you model different scenarios to help you decide which approach makes the most sense for your situation.

Assuming your tax filing status is single and the $125,000 is taxable income after deductions and credits, for the 2023 tax year you are in the 24% marginal income tax bracket. Your bill for federal income taxes will be approximately $20,076. If you convert $90,000 now, that will increase your income to $215,000 and move you into the 32% bracket. Your one-year income tax bill will increase $23,124 to $43,200. Over 10 years, your added taxes owed due to Roth conversions increasing your taxable income would come to approximately $230,000, not accounting for potential portfolio growth and inflation.

Alternatively, you could convert the entire $900,00 all at once. That would move you into the top 37% bracket and increase your current year income to $1,025,000, Your tax bill would skyrocket to $366,678, an increase of about $130,000 over the staggered approach. Remember, these are simplified calculations. A financial advisor can help you make more sophisticated projections in various scenarios.

Given the tax savings compared to a single-year conversion, gradual conversion seems like a promising strategy. However, doing a set amount each year may not be the most effective approach. If you convert 10% of your IRA each year, for instance, you won’t completely empty your IRA after 10 years. That’s because the remaining balance is likely to increase due to investment returns over that period.

Converting $90,000 annually, while earning 7% average returns, will leave approximately $500,000 still in your IRA after 10 years. Using the IRS tables for calculating RMDs, your first-year mandatory annual withdrawal amount will be just shy of $20,000. This relatively small amount may not cause your income to increase so much that you’re bumped into the next tax bracket. However, if you want to avoid RMDs entirely, you will likely have to convert larger amounts.

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