Live hurricane updates: Helene could make Florida landfall as Category 4 storm Thursday

Date:

(This story was updated to add new information.)

Hurricane Helene is closing in on Florida with landfall expected in the Big Bend area Thursday. Helene is expected to slam into Florida as a massive Category 4 hurricane with winds up to 132-mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.

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“Helene is expected to rapidly grow into a very large and powerful hurricane. The threat of storm surge along the Big Bend of Florida is life-threatening and destructive,” warned AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva. “Serious impacts will be felt hundreds of miles away from the center of circulation.”

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Helene poses dangers of life-threatening storm surge, destructive winds and flash flooding along the entire west coast of Florida and the Big Bend, the NHC reported. The highest inundation levels and potentially catastrophic hurricane-force winds are expected along the Big Bend coast.

Preparations to protect life and property along the Florida Big Bend coast “should be rushed to completion,” the NHC said.

Hurricane Helene current path

Helene is moving toward the north-northeast near 12 mph. This general motion is expected to continue with a significant increase in forward speed during the next 24 hours.

On the forecast track, Helene will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today and cross the Florida Big Bend coast this evening or early Friday morning. After landfall, Helene is expected to turn northwest and slow down over the Tennessee Valley on Friday and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph, with higher gusts.

Strengthening is forecast, and Helene is expected to be a major hurricane when it reaches the Florida Big Bend coast this evening.

— Cheryl McCloud

Hurricane Helene current location

As of 5 a.m. Thursday, the National Hurricane Center put Hurricane Helene in the Gulf of Mexico and tracking north-northeast:

  • Location: 350 miles southwest of Tampa; 385 miles south of Apalachicola

  • Maximum sustained winds: 90 mph

  • Movement: north-northeast at 12 mph

  • Pressure: 966 mb

  • Next advisory: 8 a.m.

Helene could bring up to 20 feet of storm surge

The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline, according to the NHC.

The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:

  • Carrabelle, FL to Suwannee River, FL…15-20 ft

  • Apalachicola, FL to Carrabelle, FL…10-15 ft

  • Suwannee River, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL…10-15 ft

  • Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL…8-12 ft

  • Indian Pass, FL to Apalachicola, FL…6-10 ft

  • Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL…5-8 ft

  • Tampa Bay…5-8 ft

  • Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL…4-7 ft

  • East of Mexico Beach, FL to Indian Pass, FL…3-5 ft

  • Englewood, FL to Flamingo, FL…3-5 ft

  • Charlotte Harbor…3-5 ft

Peak storm surge forecast for Hurricane Helene as of 5 p.m., Sept. 25, 2024

Peak storm surge forecast for Hurricane Helene as of 5 p.m., Sept. 25, 2024

Warnings, watches issued for Florida

Storm surge warning: A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.

Hurricane warning: A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Hurricane watch: A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds.

Tropical storm warning: A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.

  • Florida Keys, including the Dry Tortugas

  • Flamingo to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay

  • West of Mexico Beach to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line

  • Flamingo northward to Little River Inlet

  • Lake Okeechobee

Evacuations ordered for Florida counties ahead of Helene

According to the Florida Division of Emergency Management, evacuations have been ordered for the following Florida counties:

MANDATORY

Charlotte County: Evacuations have been ordered for barrier islands, low-lying and flood prone areas, manufactured homes, and homes that don’t meet 1995 building codes.

Citrus County: Mandatory Evacuation: For licensed Skilled Nursing Facilities and Assisted Living Facilities located in ZONE A ONLY: Wednesday, September 25, 8AM Those living within Evacuation Zone A or any structure countywide not capable of withstanding tropical storm force winds or greater: Wednesday, September 25, 2PM

Dixie County: Dixie County Emergency Management has issued a mandatory evacuation order in preparation for Hurricane Helene. Evacuations will begin at 10AM on Wednesday September 25, 2024 for the following: • All coastal communities including: Suwanee, Horseshoe Beach, Jena, and the immediate surrounding areas. • Mobile Homes and Manufactured homes throughout the county. • Recreational Vehicles County Wide. • Low Lying Areas in the county.

Franklin County: In response to the projected trajectory and intensity of Tropical Storm Helene, Franklin County will implement a mandatory evacuation for the entire county, effective at 12:00 PM on Wednesday, September 25, 2024.

Gulf County: 09/24/24 1000 hours – All non-residents and all Recreational Vehicles (RV’s) in Indian Pass, Cape San Blas, & Simmons Bayou MUST be evacuated by 8:00 AM Wednesday (09/25)

Hillsborough County: Mandatory Evacuation for Zone A and All Mobile and Manufactured Homes Ahead of Tropical Storm Helene.

Jefferson County: Residents of mobile homes, low lying flood prone areas, RV’s, modular homes, and homes that are not up to current hurricane standards.

Lafayette County: Lafayette County Board of County Commissioners and Division of Emergency Management has issued a mandatory evacuation order for all residents living in mobile homes, travel trailers, structurally compromised housing and low lying areas for the entire county. The mandatory evacuations will go into effect on Thursday, September 26, 2024, at 8:00 AM.

Leon County: Leon County has issued a mandatory evacuation for residents of mobile and manufactured homes due to the threat of hurricane-force winds. Manufactured and mobile home residents in Leon County should seek safer shelter by 8 a.m. on Thursday, September 26.

Levy County: A Mandatory Evacuation Order is issued for: -Recreational vehicle parks throughout the county, and they shall be removed from the county to the maximum extent possible. -Mobile Homes and Manufactured homes throughout the county. Coastal Communities in the county. Low-Lying areas throughout the county.

Madison County: Due to expected Hurricane force winds, Madison County has a VOLUNTARY evacuation in place for mobile homes, sub-standard housing and flood prone areas.

Manatee County: Manatee County announced a call for evacuation for residents who live in Level A flood zones starting Wednesday morning at 10 a.m. in preparation for Tropical Storm Helene. Evacuation Level A includes all of Anna Maria Island and Manatee portions of Longboat Key, as well as coastal mainland areas. The evacuation also applies to all low-lying and flood-prone areas as well as all mobile and manufactured homes.

Pasco County: Mandatory evacuations will go into effect Wednesday, September 25, at 9:00 a.m. for the following: Evacuation Zone A. Everyone living in a manufactured home, mobile home or RV anywhere in Pasco Everyone in low-lying areas or areas prone to flooding Everyone in an area ordered evacuated by local authorities due to life-safety hazards Voluntary evacuations will go into effect Wednesday, September 25, at 9:00 a.m. for the following: Evacuation Zones B and C Everyone registered with Pasco as a Special Needs Resident Everyone who would be vulnerable in the event of a power loss.

Pinellas County: Mandatory Evacuation Order only for our long-term healthcare residential facilities, which includes hospitals, nursing homes and assisted living facilities that or in Zone A. https://www.facebook.com/PinellasGov

Sarasota County: Sarasota County has declared a local state of emergency and has called for evacuations of Level A manufactured home communities starting Wednesday, Sept. 25, at 7 a.m. Evacuation centers in Sarasota County will open at noon Wednesday.

Taylor County: The Taylor County Sheriff’s Office is issuing a Mandatory Evacuation Order for everyone in Taylor County due to the intensity of the forecasted Hurricane Helene effective immediately.

Wakulla County:  All evacuation zones in Wakulla County are under a mandatory evacuation order. On September 24, 2024, the Wakulla County Board of County Commissioners issued a countywide mandatory evacuation for citizens and visitors by no later than 8 a.m. on Thursday, September 26, 2024.

VOLUNTARY

  • Alachua County

  • Baker County

  • Gadsden County

  • Hamilton County

  • Jefferson County

  • Madison County

  • Suwannee County

  • Union County

Hurricane Helene projected path

Weather radar Florida

Tropical Storm Helene tracker

Helene spaghetti models

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This article originally appeared on Tallahassee Democrat: Hurricane Helene Florida landfall today. Impact, path: Live updates

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