Two weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean have the attention of the National Hurricane Center, but it’s the system in the Caribbean Sea with a projected path that includes the United States that is the most concerning.
The Gulf coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle could be dealing with a tropical depression in a few days, according to the hurricane center’s current forecast.
Here’s what the hurricane center had to say as of 8 a.m. Sunday.
Rain and depression
This system is dropping rain over Nicaragua and the western Caribbean Sea. Even if doesn’t develop into a system, that rain could drench parts of Honduras and Mexico’s Yucatan peninsula into midweek.
“Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system during the next several days,” the hurricane center said. “A tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week.”
Formation chance for the next two days: 10%.
Formation chance over the next seven days: 70%.
A wave in the Atlantic Ocean
Near Africa’s west coast, there’s a westward moving tropical wave and “a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.”
Formation chance over the next two days: near zero.
Formation chance over the next seven days: 40%.
Disorganization goes north
A low pressure area “several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda has not become better organized since (Saturday),” the hurricane center said.
Despite being “embedded in a very dry environment, a short-lived tropical depression cannot be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become better organized…”
The system is forecast to move north at 5 to 10 mph.
Formation chance over the next two days: 20%.
Formation chance over the next seven days: 20%.
